O Brasil na coalizão Índia, Brasil e África do Sul - IBAS: uma análise do período de 2003 a 2018

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the evolution of the flow of exports and imports between India, Brazil, South Africa (IBAS) between the periods 2003 to 2018 and describe the type of trade practiced between these countries. For this, data on exports and imports between these three countries were used. Based on these data, the Grubel-Lloyd Index was calculated to examine whether the type of trade between these countries can be characterized as inter-industry or intra-industry. As a result, the evolution of the trade flow between 2003 and 2018 from Brazil to India was a 606.88% increase in exports and 654.55% in imports, with South Africa an increase of 85,96% of exports and 228.07% of imports, and the evolution of the total trade volume of Brazil with IBSA had a 309.98% increase in exports and 529.20% in imports. The trade balance between them since 2003 shows the amount of exports and imports with constant swings and deficits in both countries in a few years, and from 2015 onwards the IBAS has presented positive values with surplus, being the largest surplus According to the calculation of the Grubel-Lloyd Index of the average of the total of 22 types of products most commercialized together in the IBSA, the main type of trade practiced between the three countries is of the Inter-Industry type, that is, with differences between the quantities of exports and imports between them or values close to 0, but some of the categories of the types of products traded in the IBSA countries in greater quantity are of the Intra-Industry type, with values close to 1 or quantities well balanced exports and imports.