Análise de viabilidade econômico-financeira e de risco: um estudo de caso de uma fábrica de pré-moldados de concreto

Abstract

This work aims to conduct an economic feasibility and risk analysis in the opening of a company in the manufacture of precast concrete. The research is based on the analysis and estimation of demand and techniques and cost analysis that allowed the determination of economic indicators in the economic-financial feasibility study. The data collection was carried out from a descriptive research and quantitative approach of economic indicators. The instruments of data collection used were the documentary research and the corresponding bibliography. The multiple least squares method was used to estimate the demand. The influence of each variable in the modeling was analyzed in a stochastic way, where the level of significance and the collected values of samples were analyzed by the Monte Carlo Simulation method with the help of the Microsoft Excel 2013® tool to estimate the established scenario. In the evaluation of the project, many techniques are available and also, the variables subject to uncertainties and influential in the viability of a project. Thus, economic feasibility was evaluated using the Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback and Point of Equilibrium methods. Finally, an analysis of the results obtained for the decision making was made, and the project was feasible.