Identificação e análise de fatores associados ao crescimento populacional de municípios dos estados da região centro-oeste no período de 2000 e 2010

Abstract

Although the Center-West Region has been following the national behavior of slowing down population growth, it is also possible to perceive that this Region has grown more than the national average demographically. Thus, the purpose of this work was to identify and analyze the main socioeconomic variables correlated to the population growth of municipalities in the states of Mato Grosso do Sul, Goiás and Mato Grosso, in the year 2000 and 2010. As well as characterize the socioeconomic profile of these municipalities. The methodology used was the statistical and descriptive analysis of data, involving social, economic and public sector variables, by means of the selection of municipalities of the states of the Midwest that in the year 2000 or 2010 had more than 10,000 inhabitants. The data source was IPEA, Atlas of Human Development and Ministry of Labor and Employment websites (MTE). The main results were that are strongly associated with varying population growth variables such as: GDP industry, GDP services and employment numbers, followed by social aspects (such as years of study and municipal human development index - HDI). This shows the greater attractiveness of places that generate jobs and that present better urban structural conditions. Also, changes in the numbers of inhabitants were accompanied by low changes in agricultural GDP, implying that agricultural aspects scarcely attract population growth.