Uma Análise da produção e das exportações de carne bovina no Mato Grosso do Sul e sua relação com o desmatamento no Pantanal Sul-Mato-Grossense entre os anos 2010 e 2022

Abstract

The cattle farming in the state of Mato Grosso do Sul is more concentrated in the Pantanal region due to the natural conditions of the biome that collaborate with this activity, and the state effectively contributes to national exports of the final product of this production chain. The present study aimed to analyze the behavior of beef production and exports in Brazil and Mato Grosso do Sul and the relationship of these variables with deforestation in the Pantanal of Mato Grosso do Sul. As a methodology, a descriptive analysis of the evolution of production and export of meat in general was carried out, comparing with beef, at national and state level (MS), and the influence of deforestation in the Pantanal on these variables, between the years of 2010 and 2022, through multiple linear regression. The data used were extracted from IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics), Comex Stat and INPE (National Institute for Space Research). These analyzes identified the fluctuating performance and participation of Mato Grosso do Sul in Brazil's total beef production and exports, and the estimation results indicated that state production is more influenced by beef exports than by the deforestation of the Pantanal, being the first, positive at 0.18% and the second, negative at 0.17%. Regarding exports of beef produced in Mato Grosso do Sul, production positively influenced 2.87% and deforestation in Pantanal Sul-Mato-Grossense had a positive influence of 0.65% on exports.